Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.018742 0.020113 0.021536 0.023124 0.024847 0.026663 0.028724
2026-02-01 0.016323 0.018281 0.020414 0.022915 0.025775 0.028952 0.032757
2026-02-08 0.014604 0.016872 0.019433 0.022548 0.026252 0.030533 0.035880
2026-02-15 0.013420 0.015897 0.018775 0.022384 0.026813 0.032104 0.038949
2026-02-22 0.012436 0.015045 0.018151 0.022147 0.027188 0.033385 0.041651
2026-03-01 0.011648 0.014356 0.017649 0.021984 0.027588 0.034655 0.044349
2026-03-08 0.010970 0.013746 0.017190 0.021815 0.027930 0.035825 0.046935
2026-03-15 0.010472 0.013327 0.016931 0.021868 0.028533 0.037332 0.050020
2026-03-22 0.009973 0.012871 0.016592 0.021778 0.028915 0.038536 0.052728
2026-03-29 0.009544 0.012481 0.016309 0.021735 0.029341 0.039797 0.055561
2026-04-05 0.009130 0.012086 0.015996 0.021624 0.029650 0.040890 0.058188
2026-04-12 0.008798 0.011785 0.015789 0.021641 0.030128 0.042228 0.061233
2026-04-19 0.008500 0.011528 0.015647 0.021764 0.030794 0.043923 0.064998
2026-04-26 0.008111 0.011127 0.015286 0.021555 0.030965 0.044897 0.067727
2026-05-03 0.007710 0.010690 0.014851 0.021211 0.030907 0.045510 0.069909
2026-05-10 0.007396 0.010363 0.014558 0.021057 0.031120 0.046537 0.072801
2026-05-17 0.007087 0.010027 0.014234 0.020836 0.031210 0.047364 0.075402
2026-05-24 0.006817 0.009739 0.013966 0.020684 0.031393 0.048335 0.078290
2026-05-31 0.006565 0.009464 0.013705 0.020527 0.031553 0.049270 0.081160
2026-06-07 0.006382 0.009286 0.013581 0.020576 0.032044 0.050762 0.085085
2026-06-14 0.006177 0.009065 0.013380 0.020492 0.032305 0.051879 0.088402
2026-06-21 0.005994 0.008871 0.013214 0.020452 0.032634 0.053120 0.092015
2026-06-28 0.005806 0.008663 0.013015 0.020348 0.032846 0.054163 0.095319